A sports data company named Gracenote have given Gareth Southgate’s men little to no chance of success in Russia, with the Peruvians chances more likely, but being the underdog could release the pressure that Southgate’s men are under.
England find themselves 8th most likely to lift the famous trophy come the start of July, tied at just a 4% chance of winning alongside Euro 2016 winners Portugal and a team most people find strongest to win the tournament in Belgium. The database gives percentages from winning the tournament to the possibility of getting out of the group stages. With England at a joint 71% with group rivals Belgium to progress into the last 16.
One country you may question having a more likely chance of winning the World Cup in Russia is Peru, as they find themselves at an impressive 5%, with a tough group in France, Denmark and Australia, it would be some achievement for the Peruvians to reach the last 16. Five-time champions Brazil are favourites to win the tournament(21%), with second favourites being Spain (10%) who are looking to bounce back from a disappointing World Cup in Brazil.
Many England followers believe the England team have set themselves up for disappointment in recent years, but recently many have begun to turn their heads with the progression under Southgate. This is a man very passionate representing his country, honoured to play for the three lions and even more so to manage. With recent performances, for example, the win against the Netherlands and the draw against Italy being positive, England fans this young group may have a chance this time round. With the prolific Harry Kane leading the line of a team with lots a pace and skill, England may have as good a chance as any in this tournament.
The way Southgate has conducted himself in interviews shows he wants to play counter-attacking football whilst also being patient and waiting for the correct openings. He praised Harry Kane’s ability to drop in to link up play after the game against Nigeria on Saturday at Wembley: “He’s an unselfish player. It wasn’t a case of him taking a shot every time he got the ball. He dropped deep to link, played one fabulous pass through to Dele in the first half, and his link play was very good.”
Southgate clearly wants his players to play with confidence which was lacking at the Euros as no player, bar Marcus Rashford’s 10 minute cameo, tried to take the game ‘by the scruff of the neck’ when England were dispassionately knocked out to Iceland.
The players clearly have the belief of the boss as he’s got them playing his new free flowing system and hopefully the Royal visit earlier today could spur the players on, but everyone can agree that this England team should only have a mere 4% chance of winning the World Cup if every knockout game went to penalties, now there is a flaw that Southgate might still have.
How much of a chance do you feel England have of winning the World Cup? Comment your thoughts below or tweet us at @AllOutFootball_ with the hashtag #AOF!