Paulsy’s Premier Picks – Match Week 33

Paulsy’s Premier Picks – Match Week 33

Last update: 16 April 2022 Categories: Premier League.

FA Cup semi final weekend means the Premier League game week stretches out to midweek with competing teams making up the missed fixture but also some early season postponements taking place too. With the top three all playing in the Cup fleeting fans would think the finalists will be from those sides but I am picking Crystal Palace to beat Chelsea while whoever has the least amount of injuries from the Champions League on Wednesday night will win the City v Liverpool blockbuster Part 2.
The big PL news breaking on Friday though is the departure of Sean Dyche at Burnley, very strange timing considering no new recruits can come in to play and any new gaffer will be limited on the training pitch to work on the team for the few remaining games.
White Hart Lane kicks off the league fixtures with two sides who had great games last week.

Tottenham Hotspur v Brighton & Hove Albion 

A woeful run of results stopped last Saturday when the Seagulls snatched the points away to Arsenal, they will be aiming to beat both North London sides in a week but it’s a gigantic ask and task. Only last month they lost at home to Spurs and since then Harry Kane & Co have just got better. Despite the poor performances Brighton have maintained a grip defensively and in defeat not conceded hatfuls unlike other teams around them. It’s going to be difficult though at White Hart Lane keeping the score down, Spurs are one of those sides who are explosive when going forward and can be kept quiet for long periods but in a five minute spell bag three goals. Playing first gives the home side a chance to tighten the pressure on other sides playing for the top four. Graham Potter long linked with the Spurs job must be regretting not pushing for it last year, it now seems more likely if he leaves the Amex it will be for the England job.

FPL Player to Watch - Leandro Trossard £5.8m

Bet Select - Over 2.5 goals

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Manchester United v Norwich City

United are the gift that keeps on giving, if you are struggling and need a win then they are the team you want to play! Player power seems to be the dominating faction at Old Trafford and the poisonous actions of some has defined the clubs present plus short term future. Both teams enter this fixture with only one win in the last five, Norwich with the most recent victory in the form book and looking to cause a major shock by winning away at the Theatre of  Dreams. The defining moment will be when the opening goal is scored, United's failure to register when dominant is the reason for so many poor results. Bagging a goal early in the game and building on it will see the home side romp to victory. The highly criticised Maguire is always a threat from attacking set pieces and will enjoy battling with Hanley & Gibson aerially. Norwich’s pace in defence is tortoise like and another area for a United to majorly penetrate. Whether it’s Sancho, Rashford or Elanga running at the the defenders it surely will be a successful one.

FPL Player to Watch - Harry Maguire £5.4m

Bet Select - Man Utd win

Southampton v Arsenal

Both sides hobble into this match up and will surely be very cautious as they look to stop recent poor runs. Drawing is not the worst option for Southampton but for Arsenal they need to match their North London rivals every week before they meet in May. With Manchester United approaching in midweek Arsenal will see this as a very winnable game. Losing Kieran Tierney for the season exposes Arsenals defensive weaknesses, he is the glue which binds them and one of the major strengths for Southampton is out wide from the full back zone. Livramento will look to bomb on constantly while Romeu covers his constant pressing. Playing on the break will suit Arsenal as if they can sucker and set traps for the home sides full backs players like Smith Rowe, Saka or Martinelli will feast on the gaps. Broja was a big miss last weekend as he couldn’t play against his parent club but he would have scored one of the chances that fell to Adams, not that it would have made a difference to the result. His physicality is menacing and he will look to play off Ben White rather than Gabriel who enjoys the rough and tumble face offs.

FPL Player to Watch - Armando Broja £5.5m

Bet Select - Over 2.5 goals

Watford v Brentford

Defeat in this game and it’s fair to say Watford are down, games are running out plus if they cannot beat a team who was within touching distance just a few weeks ago then who can they beat? Christian Eriksen has transformed Brentford, the hot stat on social media is the Bees have not lost when the Dane plays 90 minutes but his influence stretches further than the pitch as a professional in the building, along with his terrific ability he has transformed the form of so many of his teammates. At the end of last season when automatic promotion was secure Brentford smashed through Watford and over the last few years they’ve seemed to have their number. The usual suspects up front will cause the away side issues but Thomas Franks men will invade Vicarage Lane with so much vigour and confidence I can only see a away win. It’s been suggested Brentford may be “on the beach” soon but thats not how that club operates, performance and pride is always on the line for them. This seasons managerial appointments at Watford have possibly cost them their place at the top table and it will be tough bouncing back.

FPL Player to Watch - Christian Eriksen £5.6m

Bet Select - Brentford win

Newcastle United v Leicester City

The one live game on Sunday promises to be a lively affair, both teams on their day can devastate opponents, the St James Park setting will offer a deserved fiery atmosphere. Neither side has anything to play for in the league so the hope is it’s not a cagey match and the sides can let their hair down. Of course Leicester will have an eye on the Europa Conference Semi Finals but Brendan Rodgers will use that carrot to entice performances in the league. Dewsbury-Hall was the MOM last weekend when defeating Palace, the classy young midfielder should look to build on his current form till the end of season in preparation for the next one as its highly likely Leicester will lose Tielemens so he is the heir apparent. Chris Wood has barely set the world alight with his goal scoring at Newcastle but I expect him to build on last Friday’s goal with a few more before the end of the season. Wood was always a short term option but if the goals do not flow before the summer then he may be moved on sooner than we all thought.

FPL Player to Watch - Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall £4.4m

Bet Select - Leicester City win 

West Ham United v Burnley

Fingers crossed for West Ham that their Thursday night hangovers will have eased by Sunday following the unbelievable result in the Europa League at Lyon. They will need to be as Burnley will arrive at The London Stadium meaning business especially now Sean Dyche has left the club, him leaving reeks of the board feeling the team can avoid the drop but the boss was under performing. Everton only play once this week so maximum points from Burnley within their two games is vital to maintain pressure. Last Sunday at Carrow Road was a disaster but the interim coaching setup has to separate that game from the teams mindset, the challenge playing away to West Ham is up there these days as one of the toughest in the Premier League. Said Benrahma played well against his former side last weekend but finds himself only making substitute appearances on a Thursday night, so he will be looking to force his way into David Moyes good books. Connor Roberts will struggle with the Algerian wizard but the positive for the Clarets will stem from the fact who will be his supporting cast. Surely it will not be many men from the Lyon game so this is where the relegation threatened side will seek to take advantage.

FPL Player to Watch - Said Benrahma £5.9m

Bet Select - BTTS

The midweek fixtures start with the most famous English club fixture.

Liverpool v Manchester United

Key in this fixture is what state will the Liverpool players be in following two weeks of intense football matches. If any United players are looking to stay beyond this term then playing well in big matches like this will bode well form their chances.

FPL Player to Watch - Diogo Jota £8.3m

Bet Select - Liverpool win

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Everton v Leicester City

Everton’s last home game was a win but Leicester have shown themselves to be a more complete and clinical outfit lately than Manchester United who was the defeated team. Downside for Leicester is the constant amount of matches they face, fatigue is the best chance Everton have to get a win.

FPL Player to Watch - Harvey Barnes £6.6m

Bet Select - Leicester City win 

Chelsea v Arsenal

Arsenal in the main have struggled at Stamford Bridge but hold the lead in Premier League head to heads plus won last time out due to a Smith Rowe goal. This is a massive match for the North London team and season defining after unlucky defeats to City & Liverpool this year.

FPL Player to Watch - Timo Werner £8.6m

Bet Select -  Chelsea win 

Newcastle United v Crystal Palace

Both sides are transforming positively from previous seasons versions and this fixture could potentially be one to watch style wise for years to come. Issue for Palace is teams like Newcastle poaching some of the talent they have groomed.

FPL Player to Watch - Miguel Almiron £5m

Bet Select - Newcastle Utd win

Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton league table wise are a ideal opponent for City after a hectic, strong set of matches but Pep has stated before he admires and doesn’t like playing Graham Potter sides. If this was away it could have been a problem but the Etihad massive will energise the side to a win.

FPL Player to Watch - Jack Grealish £7.5m

Bet Select - Man City win 

Burnley v Southampton

The least desirable midweek fixture will shape the relegation battle for the coming weeks. The home crowd need to create a hostile atmosphere reminiscent of survival games from years gone by. Weghorst has not clicked lately and Vydra may come in considering new minds are now picking the team, he’s enjoyed games against Southampton previously. Sean Dyche leaving at this stage of the season will define the clubs history for years to come.

FPL Player to Watch - Matej Vydra £5.2m

Bet Select - Burnley win

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The odds if you lodge the above in a acca with BET365 are 4919.84/1, massive good luck if you follow my picks.

We are getting near to the end of the season so every football weekend is a treasured one as very soon the weekends will be filled with other ventures which cannot compete with our tribal passion.