Paulsy’s Premier Picks – Match Week 11

Another international break beckons which is disappointing but at least this weekend’s Premier League action is poised to offer some fascinating match ups?

Southampton v Aston Villa

Friday night football returns with two sides desperate to be above each other before a two week break. A fifth defeat on the trot will most certainly mean the end of the Dean Smith era at Villa but would it be a surprise if Ralph Hasenhuttl becomes a target for Villa if this occurs? The young Villa players are going to be PL stars and maybe it’s time for  Smith to fully integrate them to save his job. Nathan Redmond showing his class back in Birmingham seems inevitable and with Che Adams bullying Mings the Saints victory is the only option.

Southampton win over 2.5 goals

Manchester Utd v Manchester City

Before the season started I expected these 2 being the title rivals but now it seems to be a fight between Chelsea and Liverpool. Both sides have amazing players but functionally on a week to week basis they lack a killer edge to close out a game, City cannot score and Utd can concede at any time! The draw for either team is not a option and I hate to say it but Ronaldo will be the decisive player on the day, Sterling will run him close though.

Man Utd win

Brentford v Norwich City

The injuries continue to mount at Brentford and if Norwich are going to win a game it surely must be this weekend? Key point in this game will be who is the bravest team and the home side buoyed by their unreal support have to believe & show it’s them. Ivan Toney has not hit the goal scoring heights yet but his performances have left defenders quaking in their boots, in front of his home crowd a multiple scoring day will push him towards his old side on the 20th Nov in the best form.

Ivan Toney 2+ goals

Chelsea v Burnley

What a bad game for the clarets after their first league win v Brentford, the imperious Chelsea freight train can beat you with any permutation of starting 11. Cornet is bang in form but you can argue the Chelsea bench are in as good a form/if not better players. Nick Pope will be a busy keeper as I expect him to face 15+ shots on target.

Chelsea win over 3.5 goals

Crystal Palace v Wolverhampton Wanderers 

Still not convinced by Wolves, going forward they have talent around Jimenez who are fruity but the defence is a concern especially Coady who is definitely stealing a top flight living. Losing 1 week after beating Man City is not a option for Palace in front of their own fans. The first goal will not be important in this game as it will be scored by the home side while the opposition will be left frustrated.

Palace win to nil

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Brighton & Hove Albion v Newcastle Utd

Saturday night wraps up with Eddie Howe’s new club losing another game. The Seagulls are a danger to all PL rivals, they can defend and out pass you. Saint Maximin will be left as the Geordie threat as per normal but he barely receives the ball in any threatening sectors of the pitch. Viewership will be low and so will goals.

Brighton win

Arsenal v Watford 

Arteta has cracked it and Arsenal will win the league now…….of course not but that’s the unbearable banter I have heard from Gooner friends this week. 2pm on Sundays can provide weird results on a par with the Sat lunchtime and this weekend will be one of those games. No of course Watford will not win but Ismaila Sarr will be a constant threat to the Arsenal defence, his team will earn a draw while he wins MOM. Saka and Smith Rowe will shine as always but Ranieri’s defence are being constructed to take no prisoners while the forwards pace on the counter take advantage. Ben White will be in for another torrid afternoon after a few cigar weeks.

Sarr to score anytime

Everton v Tottenham Hotspur

Conte will not let his new team lose to the Toffees, who’s form has dipped so much lately. Harry Kane still wants out but he will need to conform for the next two months otherwise he will be dropped by the new manager who takes no prisoners. Away from home football suits so many Spurs players, no more so than Son. Ben Godfrey is the one Everton player who is so far off last seasons form, sooner rather than later he will find that destructive blitzing level he consistently showed during lockdown football.

Tottenham win

Leeds Utd v Leicester City

After last weeks win this fixture seems like one step forward to back for Leeds Utd. Leicester before the Arsenal defeat were picking up wins despite average form, they will need to be better than normal despite facing a sub standard Leeds as Raphinha can punish the best in the league. That being said playing away is the Foxes way currently, too many Leicester players are suited to the counter attacking style, the image of Vardy quietening Elland Road seems inevitable.

Leicester win

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West Ham United v Liverpool

Injuries will decide this game, if Jota or Mane cannot play then the Anfield side will be depleted to such a level that only a draw is possible. The Hammers are a SERIOUS side, at home they will deplete and smash into a team so much that submission is close at all times. VVD is a man who can handle the threat of Antonio but the supporting cast are always a doubt, Konate has looked good but Matip is a man who can be bullied. West Ham possess so much pace and skill from their numerous wingers come number ten’s it’s frightening.

West Ham win

The acca above is worth 182,938.01/1 and as always I will put my money where my mouth is. Enjoy this weekend as I am sure it will be be better quality wise than the last one plus we have to endure a dire international break for 12 days afterwards!